Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Tropez 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Edas Butvilas		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	1.73	2.00	Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.76	2.00	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.71	2.15
	1.70	2.01	Watch
	1.70	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
54.4%

Harold Mayot
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Edas Butvilas - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Butvilas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Mayot will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 198., and Mayot is ranked ATP: 237..

Butvilas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mayot is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Butvilas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Butvilas has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Edas Butvilas - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.93%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Edas Butvilas	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Max Basing - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Miguel Tobon - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 W?LLW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Harold Mayot - Justin Boulais	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Harold Mayot - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	Canceled ✺
20.09.26	Harold Mayot - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Harold Mayot - Clement Chidekh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Harold Mayot - Edas Butvilas	2:1

Edas Butvilas - Harold Mayot