Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 August 2024, Friday


	Haruka Kaji		Ella McDonald

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.07	1.65
	2.24	1.62
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.13	1.66	Watch
	2.07	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.83)	1.64 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
43.7%

Ella McDonald
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haruka Kaji's form might have worsened.

Ella McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ella McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haruka Kaji, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ella McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Haruka Kaji - Ella McDonald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 300. McDonald is ranked WTA: 529.

Recent matches Kaji is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

McDonald is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kaji could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
08.08.24	Haruka Kaji - Rina Saigo	2:1 ✺
06.08.24	Haruka Kaji - Brooke Black	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Haruka Kaji - Yeon Woo Ku	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	Yasmine Mansouri - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Radka Zelnickova - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW
- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
08.08.24	Ella McDonald - Ankita Raina	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Naiktha Bains - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
02.08.24	Sonay Kartal - Ella McDonald	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Mayuka Aikawa - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Ella McDonald - Ayla Aksu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

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