Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kurume, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Haruka Kaji		Emily Appleton

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.07	1.77
	1.21	3.84	Watch
	2.01	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.19)	2.26 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
55.3%

Emily Appleton
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haruka Kaji's performance.

Emily Appleton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emily Appleton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haruka Kaji that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emily Appleton than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emily Appleton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Haruka Kaji - Emily Appleton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 338. Appleton is ranked WTA: 499.

In recent matches, Kaji has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Appleton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Appleton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Appleton will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kaji won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Haruka Kaji - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.82%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	Xinxin Yao - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Haruka Kaji - Xinyu Gao	Gao X. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Taylah Preston - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Haruka Kaji - Yeon Woo Ku	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Haruka Kaji - Sae Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 L?LWL
- Emily Appleton
ITF Tournaments
10.05.26	Alicia Dudeney - Emily Appleton	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Julia Adams - Emily Appleton	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Emily Appleton - Eliz Maloney	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Emily Appleton - Clara Vlasselaer	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Emily Appleton - Indianna Spink	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Emily Appleton - Haruka Kaji	0:2

Haruka Kaji - Emily Appleton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide