Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Xinxin Yao		Haruka Kaji

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.24
	1.63	2.16	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.62	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.88)	2.27 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinxin Yao
58.6%

Haruka Kaji
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinxin Yao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xinxin Yao's performance.

Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haruka Kaji might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xinxin Yao than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xinxin Yao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haruka Kaji could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Xinxin Yao - Haruka Kaji Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yao is ranked WTA: 398. Kaji is ranked WTA: 338.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kaji may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Yao will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinxin Yao
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Hong Yi Cody Wong - Xinxin Yao	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Xinxin Yao - Rada Zolotareva	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Sara Saito - Xinxin Yao	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.04.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL
- Haruka Kaji
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Haruka Kaji - Xinyu Gao	Gao X. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Taylah Preston - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Haruka Kaji - Yeon Woo Ku	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Haruka Kaji - Sae Noguchi	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Haruka Kaji - Hina Inoue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?LWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.07.24	Xinxin Yao - Haruka Kaji	2:1

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