Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Haruka Kaji		Yexin Ma

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.51	2.42
	1.52	2.44	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.5	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.71)	2.44 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
61.9%

Yexin Ma
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haruka Kaji's performance.

Yexin Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yexin Ma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haruka Kaji that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yexin Ma than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yexin Ma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Haruka Kaji - Yexin Ma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 227. Ma is ranked WTA: 243.

Recent matches Kaji is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ma is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kaji could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kaji won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
19.04.25	Haruka Kaji - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Haruka Kaji - Isabella Shinikova	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Haruka Kaji - Angelica Blake	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Haruka Kaji - Yasmin Ezzat	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Haruka Kaji - En Shuo Liang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL
- Yexin Ma
ITF Tournaments
12.04.25	Yexin Ma - En Shuo Liang	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Yexin Ma - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Yexin Ma - Eri Shimizu	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Ayano Shimizu - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Ayumi Koshiishi - Yexin Ma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.07.23	Yexin Ma - Haruka Kaji	2:0
06.02.23	Yexin Ma - Haruka Kaji	0:2

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