Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Daegu (South Korea), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 June 2024, Wednesday


	Haruna Arakawa		Dayeon Back

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.36
	3.05	1.31
	3	1.36
	3.05	1.34	Watch
	3.05	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.42)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruna Arakawa
30.9%

Dayeon Back
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruna Arakawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haruna Arakawa's form might have worsened.

Dayeon Back has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dayeon Back's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruna Arakawa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haruna Arakawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayeon Back than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dayeon Back, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Haruna Arakawa - Dayeon Back Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Arakawa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Back is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Back could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Back will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Back to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
03.06.24	Peangtarn Plipuech - Haruna Arakawa	0:2 ✺
30.05.24	Petra Hule - Haruna Arakawa	2:0 ✺
29.05.24	Haruna Arakawa - Shrivalli Rashmikaa Bhamidipaty	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Haruna Arakawa - Su Jeong Jang	0:2 ✺
07.05.24	Haruna Arakawa - En Shuo Liang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLL
- Dayeon Back
ITF Tournaments
05.06.24	Erika Sema - Dayeon Back	1:2 ✺
31.05.24	Dayeon Back - Petra Hule	0:2 ✺
30.05.24	Gabriella Da Silva Fick - Dayeon Back	1:2 ✺
29.05.24	Dayeon Back - Lizette Cabrera	2:0 ✺
28.05.24	Dayeon Back - Mayuka Aikawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW

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