Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Boca Raton, FL 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Haruna Arakawa		Gergana Topalova

	1	2
	3.88	1.23
	4.35	1.19	Watch
	4.47	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.35)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruna Arakawa
22.1%

Gergana Topalova
77.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

72%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

73.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruna Arakawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haruna Arakawa's form might have worsened.

Gergana Topalova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gergana Topalova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruna Arakawa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gergana Topalova than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Haruna Arakawa - Gergana Topalova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games, 1st Set - Topalova (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Topalova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arakawa is ranked WTA: 493. Topalova is ranked WTA: 334.

Arakawa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Topalova is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Arakawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Topalova is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Berta Bonardi - Haruna Arakawa	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Alexis Nguyen - Haruna Arakawa	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Jaeda Daniel - Haruna Arakawa	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Lizette Cabrera - Haruna Arakawa	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Haruna Arakawa - Yuno Kitahara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Gergana Topalova
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Makenna Jones - Gergana Topalova	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Despina Papamichail - Gergana Topalova	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Gergana Topalova - Maria Jose Portillo Ramirez	Topalova G. walkover ✺
01.05.25	Gergana Topalova - Monika Ekstrand	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Gergana Topalova - Dasha Ivanova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WL?WW

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