Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W60 GOLD COAST (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday


	Haruna Arakawa		Ivana Popovic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.33	1.55
	2.23	1.61
	2.25	1.57
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	4	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.64)	1.54 ↓ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruna Arakawa
38.3%

Ivana Popovic
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruna Arakawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haruna Arakawa's form might have worsened.

Ivana Popovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ivana Popovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruna Arakawa than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haruna Arakawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivana Popovic than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ivana Popovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Arakawa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Popovic is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arakawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arakawa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
22.11.23	Haruna Arakawa - Destanee Aiava	0:2 ✺
21.11.23	Ivana Popovic - Haruna Arakawa	1:2 ✺
31.10.23	Joanna Garland - Haruna Arakawa	2:0 ✺
25.10.23	Astra Sharma - Haruna Arakawa	2:0 ✺
23.10.23	Natsuho Arakawa - Haruna Arakawa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Ivana Popovic
ITF Tournaments
21.11.23	Ivana Popovic - Haruna Arakawa	1:2 ✺
31.10.23	Taylah Preston - Ivana Popovic	2:0 ✺
25.10.23	Ivana Popovic - Chihiro Muramatsu	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Ivana Popovic - Monique Barry	2:0 ✺
13.10.23	Taylah Preston - Ivana Popovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.11.23	Ivana Popovic - Haruna Arakawa	1:2
05.10.23	Haruna Arakawa - Ivana Popovic	0:2

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