Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 San Rafael, CA, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Haruna Arakawa		Katarina Jokic

	1	2
	2.52	1.48
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.59	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.69)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruna Arakawa
36.2%

Katarina Jokic
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruna Arakawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Katarina Jokic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruna Arakawa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarina Jokic than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Haruna Arakawa - Katarina Jokic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arakawa is ranked WTA: 444. Jokic is ranked WTA: 354.

Recent performances by Arakawa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jokic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jokic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jokic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Jokic will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Haruna Arakawa - Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Haruna Arakawa - Taylah Preston	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Haruna Arakawa - Ya Yi Yang	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Haruna Arakawa - Jelena Cvijanovic	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Haruna Arakawa - Elena Micic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL
- Katarina Jokic
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Johanne Christine Svendsen - Katarina Jokic	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Jaeda Daniel - Katarina Jokic	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Katarina Jokic - Katharina Hobgarski	Jokic K. walkover ✺
13.09.25	Katarina Jokic - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Luisina Giovannini - Katarina Jokic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LW?WW

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