Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Nanao (Japan), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Haruna Arakawa		Naho Sato

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.48	1.46
	2.49	1.48
	2.51	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.59	1.45	Watch
	2.48	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.93)	1.47 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruna Arakawa
37.1%

Naho Sato
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruna Arakawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haruna Arakawa's performance.

Naho Sato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naho Sato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruna Arakawa than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haruna Arakawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naho Sato than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naho Sato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Haruna Arakawa - Naho Sato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arakawa is ranked WTA: 512. Sato is ranked WTA: 337.

Arakawa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sato is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arakawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sato is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
24.09.24	Kayo Nishimura - Haruna Arakawa	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Haruna Arakawa - Melisa Ercan	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Haruna Arakawa - Destanee Aiava	0:2 ✺
02.09.24	Haruna Arakawa - Erika Sema	0:2 ✺
28.08.24	Haruna Arakawa - Momoko Kobori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL
- Naho Sato
ITF Tournaments
23.09.24	Remika Ohashi - Naho Sato	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Talia Gibson - Naho Sato	2:0 ✺
10.09.24	Naho Sato - Maddison Inglis	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Naho Sato - Vaidehi Chaudhari	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Naho Sato - Elina Nepliy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLW

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