Match Info

Date: 2 August 2022, Tuesday


	Haruna Arakawa		Xinyu Gao

	1	2
	4.2	1.18
	4.25	1.2
	4.3	1.15
	4.7	1.17
	4.33	1.2
	5.9	1.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (3.36)	1.17 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruna Arakawa
20.2%

Xinyu Gao
79.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruna Arakawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haruna Arakawa's form might have worsened.

Xinyu Gao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Xinyu Gao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruna Arakawa than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haruna Arakawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xinyu Gao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Arakawa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gao is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arakawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gao is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
26.07.22	Julie Belgraver - Haruna Arakawa	2:1 ✺
20.07.22	Jamie Loeb - Haruna Arakawa	2:0 ✺
13.07.22	Haruna Arakawa - Erika Sema	0:2 ✺
07.07.22	Lin Zhu - Haruna Arakawa	2:0 ✺
05.07.22	Haruna Arakawa - Pei-Chi Lee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW
- Xinyu Gao
ITF Tournaments
27.07.22	Xinyu Gao - Ankita Raina	1:2 ✺
26.07.22	Xinyu Gao - Angelica Blake	2:0 ✺
11.06.22	Nao Hibino - Xinyu Gao	1:2 ✺
10.06.22	Momoko Kobori - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
09.06.22	Xinyu Gao - Ankita Raina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Haruna Arakawa - I Wen Wan	✺

Haruna Arakawa - Xinyu Gao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide