Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Takasaki (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Yuta Kawahashi

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	1.88	1.79
	2.04	1.71
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.88	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.45)	1.78 ↓ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
48.1%

Yuta Kawahashi
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hayato Matsuoka's form might have worsened.

Yuta Kawahashi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuta Kawahashi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hayato Matsuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Kawahashi than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuta Kawahashi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hayato Matsuoka - Yuta Kawahashi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 788. Kawahashi is ranked ATP: 1023.

Matsuoka is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kawahashi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kawahashi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Matsuoka will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ITF Tournaments
09.09.24	Hayato Matsuoka - Yuta Kikuchi	0:2 ✺
02.09.24	Hayato Matsuoka - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Obrad Markovski - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
07.08.24	Aristotelis Thanos - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
18.07.24	Nicola Kuhn - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Yuta Kawahashi
ITF Tournaments
11.09.24	Yuta Kawahashi - Jacob Brumm	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Taketo Takamisawa - Yuta Kawahashi	0:2 ✺
06.09.24	Yuta Kawahashi - Kokoro Isomura	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Yuta Kawahashi	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Yuta Kawahashi - Shintaro Imai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWLWW

Hayato Matsuoka - Yuta Kawahashi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide