Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: ANDORRA (ANDORRA), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 1 December 2023, Friday


	Heather Watson		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.75	2
	1.78	2.06
	1.79	2.06
	1.8	1.91
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.73	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)	2.05 ↑ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heather Watson
54%

Jessika Ponchet
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heather Watson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Heather Watson - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Watson will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Ponchet will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watson: 46.1% – 91.5%.

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Preview

Recent matches Watson is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponchet is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Watson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Watson won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heather Watson
ATP Challenger
29.11.23	Alina Charaeva - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
28.11.23	Timea Babos - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
01.11.23	Anna Kalinskaya - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
23.10.23	Heather Watson - Ann Li	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.10.23	Heather Watson - Arina Rodionova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL
- Jessika Ponchet
ATP Challenger
30.11.23	Jessika Ponchet - Elsa Jacquemot	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Tereza Martincova - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.11.23	Jessika Ponchet - Yuriko Lily Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
31.10.23	Jessika Ponchet - Margaux Rouvroy	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.04.23	Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson	1:2

Heather Watson - Jessika Ponchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide