Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Henri Squire		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.35	1.56	Watch
	2.44	1.61
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.30	1.59	Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.30	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.28)	1.57 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henri Squire
40.4%

Francesco Passaro
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Henri Squire - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Squire is ranked ATP: 235. Passaro is ranked ATP: 185.

Squire has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Passaro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Squire may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Passaro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Squire won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Henri Squire - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Henri Squire - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Keegan Smith - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Henri Squire - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Henri Squire - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Francesco Passaro	Fellin P. O. Retired ✺
01.07.26	Francesco Passaro - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Daniel Michalski - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Sumit Nagal - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
24.06.26	Niels McDonald - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 ?LW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Francesco Passaro - Henri Squire	1:2
17.09.24	Henri Squire - Francesco Passaro	2:0

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