Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasov, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Keegan Smith		Henri Squire

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.33
	2.80	1.42	Watch
	3.41	1.38
	3.18	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.32	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	3.10	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.61)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
30.1%

Henri Squire
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keegan Smith's form might have worsened.

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henri Squire's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Keegan Smith - Henri Squire Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Squire will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 247. Squire is ranked ATP: 235.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Squire is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.33%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Keegan Smith - Gabriel Ghetu	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Keegan Smith - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Keegan Smith - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Hamish Stewart - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Keegan Smith - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLL
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Henri Squire - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Henri Squire - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Henri Squire - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW

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