Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Hernan Casanova		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.27	3.35
	1.31	3.56
	1.27	3.41	Watch
	1.49	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.72)	3.23 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hernan Casanova
70.9%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hernan Casanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hernan Casanova's performance.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Alejandro Hernandez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hernan Casanova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Alejandro Hernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hernan Casanova - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Casanova (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Casanova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Casanova is ranked ATP: 353. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 419.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Casanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Casanova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hernan Casanova
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Luis Guto Miguel	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Wilson Leite	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Fernando Cavallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
11.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Lawrence Bataljin	Canceled ✺
06.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Manuel Sanchez	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Tadeo Meneo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Sebastian Gima - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Hernan Casanova	2:0

Upcoming Matches