Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Changwon (South Korea), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 May 2024, Friday


	Hikaru Sato		Hanna Chang

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.4	1.5
	2.4	1.55
	2.4	1.55
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.47	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.72)	1.51 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hikaru Sato
38.4%

Hanna Chang
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hikaru Sato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Hanna Chang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hikaru Sato than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hikaru Sato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanna Chang than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hanna Chang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Sato is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chang is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Chang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chang will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Chang to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hikaru Sato
ITF Tournaments
29.05.24	Hikaru Sato - Hina Inoue	2:0 ✺
28.05.24	Zongyu Li - Hikaru Sato	1:2 ✺
14.05.24	Hikaru Sato - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Hikaru Sato - Audrey Albie	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Sonay Kartal - Hikaru Sato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLL
- Hanna Chang
ITF Tournaments
29.05.24	Misaki Matsuda - Hanna Chang	1:2 ✺
28.05.24	Sakura Hosogi - Hanna Chang	0:2 ✺
25.05.24	Hanna Chang - Aoi Ito	2:0 ✺
24.05.24	Naho Sato - Hanna Chang	0:2 ✺
23.05.24	Hanna Chang - En Shuo Liang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanna Chang
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Janae Preston - Hanna Chang	✺

Hikaru Sato - Hanna Chang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide