Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Tokyo, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Hikaru Sato		Kayo Nishimura

	1	2
	1.40	2.65
	1.48	2.45
	1.44	2.80
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.36	2.75
	1.43	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)	2.66 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hikaru Sato
65.3%

Kayo Nishimura
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hikaru Sato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hikaru Sato's performance.

Kayo Nishimura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayo Nishimura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hikaru Sato than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hikaru Sato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayo Nishimura than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayo Nishimura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hikaru Sato - Kayo Nishimura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sato is ranked WTA: 517. Nishimura is ranked WTA: 542.

Sato is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nishimura has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sato will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hikaru Sato
ITF Tournaments
11.06.26	Hikaru Sato - Yuno Kitahara	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Hikaru Sato - Kurea Hayasaka	Sato H. Walkover ✺
08.06.26	Hikaru Sato - Yuka Hosoki	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Alexandra Shubladze - Hikaru Sato	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Hikaru Sato - Wushuang Zheng	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 W?WLW
- Kayo Nishimura
ITF Tournaments
11.06.26	Kayo Nishimura - Mao Mushika	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Kayo Nishimura - Ayumi Miyamoto	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Kayo Nishimura - Naho Sato	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Kayo Nishimura - Boyoung Jeong	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Suha Lee - Kayo Nishimura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLL

Hikaru Sato - Kayo Nishimura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide