Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Kyoto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Hina Inoue		Rinko Matsuda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.90	1.79
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.67	2.16
	1.63	2.10	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.42)	2.02 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hina Inoue
54%

Rinko Matsuda
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hina Inoue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hina Inoue's form might have worsened.

Rinko Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rinko Matsuda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hina Inoue than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hina Inoue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinko Matsuda than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rinko Matsuda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hina Inoue - Rinko Matsuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Inoue is ranked WTA: 309. Matsuda is ranked WTA: 470.

Inoue has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Matsuda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Inoue might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Rinko Matsuda - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.77%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hina Inoue
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Hina Inoue - Mutsumi Uemura	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Hina Inoue - Yufei Ren	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Hina Inoue - Vaishnavi Adkar	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Sofia Costoulas - Hina Inoue	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Miho Kuramochi - Hina Inoue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWL
- Rinko Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
15.09.26	Ayumi Miyamoto - Rinko Matsuda	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Rinko Matsuda	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Kamonwan Yodpetch - Rinko Matsuda	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Rinko Matsuda - Meng Yi Chen	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Peangtarn Plipuech - Rinko Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

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