Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe (Japan) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kobe (Japan) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Hiroki Moriya		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.55
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.45	2.67
	1.46	2.62	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.85)	2.59 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
64%

Andrea Picchione
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hiroki Moriya's performance.

Andrea Picchione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Picchione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hiroki Moriya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Picchione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hiroki Moriya - Andrea Picchione Predictions

Users Predictions: Hiroki Moriya will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 391. Picchione is ranked ATP: 331.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Moriya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
06.11.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Hiroki Moriya - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Benoit Paire - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Yusuke Kusuhara - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWL
- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	Andrea Picchione - Alafia Ayeni	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.24	Orel Kimhi - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
24.10.24	Rocco Piatti - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Matic Kriznik - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.24	Andrea Picchione - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWWL

Hiroki Moriya - Andrea Picchione

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Hiroki Moriya - Andrea Picchione Predictions

Preview

Form

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