Match Info

Date: 14 February 2022, Monday


	Hiroki Moriya		Emilio Nava

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
			Watch
	1.44	2.46
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.57	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.84)	2.52 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
63.3%

Emilio Nava
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hiroki Moriya's performance.

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emilio Nava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hiroki Moriya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emilio Nava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Moriya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moriya will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
13.02.22	Hiroki Moriya - Adrian Menendez-Maceiras	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Vasek Pospisil - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
28.01.22	Hiroki Moriya - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
27.01.22	Ruben Bemelmans - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
25.01.22	Hiroki Moriya - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
13.02.22	Emilio Nava - Ulises Blanch	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	Emilio Nava - Dominic Stephan Stricker	1:2 ✺
01.02.22	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
31.01.22	Yosuke Watanuki - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
30.01.22	James Hopper - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Hiroki Moriya - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide