Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NONTHABURI 2 (THAILAND), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 January 2024, Tuesday


	Hiroki Moriya		Steven Diez

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.59	2.4
	1.6	2.4
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.76)	2.29 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
59.1%

Steven Diez
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hiroki Moriya's performance.

Steven Diez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Steven Diez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hiroki Moriya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steven Diez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Moriya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Diez has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Diez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moriya will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moriya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
07.01.24	Rigele Te - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Hiroki Moriya - Skander Mansouri	2:0 ✺
02.01.24	Hiroki Moriya - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
31.12.23	Hiroki Moriya - Calum Puttergill	2:1 ✺
30.12.23	Hiroki Moriya - Gillian Osmont	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- Steven Diez
ATP United Cup
03.01.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
30.12.23	Steven Diez - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.23	Steven Diez - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
14.11.23	Steven Diez - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
16.01.20	Hiroki Moriya - Steven Diez	2:0

Hiroki Moriya - Steven Diez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide