Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Sapporo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Honoka Kobayashi		Moeka Miyata

	1	2
	1.7	2.06
			Watch
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.41	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.41)	2.29 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honoka Kobayashi
58.9%

Moeka Miyata
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honoka Kobayashi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Honoka Kobayashi's form might have worsened.

Moeka Miyata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moeka Miyata's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honoka Kobayashi than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Honoka Kobayashi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moeka Miyata than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moeka Miyata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Kobayashi is ranked WTA: 662. Miyata is ranked WTA: 1318.

Kobayashi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Miyata has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kobayashi could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honoka Kobayashi
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Honoka Kobayashi - Mia Hasegawa	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Honoka Kobayashi - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Sae Noguchi - Honoka Kobayashi	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Yui Chikaraishi - Honoka Kobayashi	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Eva Marie Desvignes - Honoka Kobayashi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- Moeka Miyata
ITF Tournaments
17.06.25	Moeka Miyata - Yui Ohwaki	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Ayumi Miyamoto - Moeka Miyata	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Jenna Defalco - Moeka Miyata	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Yui Ohwaki - Moeka Miyata	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Moeka Miyata - Ya Yi Yang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Honoka Kobayashi - Moeka Miyata: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide