Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Hugo Grenier		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.28
			Watch
	3.48	1.32
			Watch
			Watch
	3.21	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.38)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
28.7%

Marin Cilic
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Hugo Grenier - Marin Cilic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenier (votes: 1 - 50%). Cilic (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Grenier is ranked ATP: 176. Cilic is ranked ATP: 104.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Grenier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cilic is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
07.06.25	Hugo Grenier - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Hugo Grenier - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL
- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Marin Cilic - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Marin Cilic - Flavio Cobolli	0:3 ✺
23.05.25	Marin Cilic - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
22.05.25	Marin Cilic - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW

Hugo Grenier - Marin Cilic

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier - Marin Cilic Predictions

Preview

Form

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