Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Naples, FL 2, clay - Final

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Hunter Heck		Tommaso Compagnucci

	1	2
	3.41	1.25
	3.6	1.24	Watch
	3.6	1.22
	3.65	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.56)	1.24 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hunter Heck
25.8%

Tommaso Compagnucci
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hunter Heck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hunter Heck's form might have worsened.

Tommaso Compagnucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommaso Compagnucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hunter Heck than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hunter Heck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommaso Compagnucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hunter Heck - Tommaso Compagnucci Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heck (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Heck is ranked ATP: 1945. Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 467.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Heck may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Compagnucci is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heck won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hunter Heck
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Hunter Heck - Evan Bynoe	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Hunter Heck - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Roberto Cid Subervi - Hunter Heck	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Hunter Heck - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Hunter Heck - Ronit Karki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WWWLW
- Tommaso Compagnucci
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Mwendwa Mbithi - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	John Hallquist Lithen - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Charles Bertimon - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.02.26	Hunter Heck - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2

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