Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul (Turkey), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 September 2024, Thursday


	Ilia Simakin		Gijs Brouwer

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.38	1.51	Watch
	2.62	1.51
	2.49	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.47	1.51	Watch
	2.38	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3.2)	1.51 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
38.1%

Gijs Brouwer
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilia Simakin's performance.

Gijs Brouwer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gijs Brouwer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilia Simakin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gijs Brouwer than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gijs Brouwer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ilia Simakin - Gijs Brouwer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Brouwer will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 471. Brouwer is ranked ATP: 226.

Simakin in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Brouwer is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brouwer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Brouwer will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Simakin to win the game is with odds 2.58.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Ilia Simakin - Jiri Vesely	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Ilia Simakin - S Mert Ozdemir	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Ilia Simakin - Leonid Sheyngezikht	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.08.24	Ilia Simakin - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Ilia Simakin - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW
- Gijs Brouwer
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Gijs Brouwer - Denis Yevseyev	Yevseyev D. retired ✺
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Gijs Brouwer - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.08.24	Jacob Fearnley - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
27.07.24	Leandro Riedi - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
14.07.24	Gijs Brouwer - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ?LLLL

Ilia Simakin - Gijs Brouwer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide