Match Info

Date: 13 February 2021, Saturday


	Illya Marchenko		Federico Gaio

	1	2
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2	1.72
	2	1.77	Watch
	2.03	1.68
	2.15	1.75
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.26	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.21)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
45.4%

Federico Gaio
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	0%	90.2%

Illya Marchenko - Federico Gaio Predictions

Users Predictions: Federico Gaio will win (55 of 61 users predict this - 90.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.69% – 97.63%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Gaio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
12.02.21	Illya Marchenko - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
10.02.21	Illya Marchenko - Luca Vanni	2:0 ✺
09.02.21	Martin Klizan - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
31.01.21	Illya Marchenko - Tristan Lamasine	1:2 ✺
29.01.21	Benjamin Bonzi - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL
- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
12.02.21	Daniel Masur - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
11.02.21	Tim Van Rijthoven - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
10.02.21	Lukas Lacko - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
05.02.21	Lukas Lacko - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
03.02.21	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW

Illya Marchenko - Federico Gaio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide