Match Info

Date: 12 March 2021, Friday


	Illya Marchenko		Jonas Forejtek

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.66	2.18	Watch
	1.63	2.11
	1.68	2.2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.5	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)	2.22 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
57.9%

Jonas Forejtek
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Jonas Forejtek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	0%	19.2%

Illya Marchenko - Jonas Forejtek Predictions

Users Predictions: Illya Marchenko will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Forejtek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marchenko will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
11.03.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
10.03.21	Tung-Lin Wu - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
06.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Edan Leshem	2:0 ✺
05.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Daniel Cukierman	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.02.21	Illya Marchenko - Andreas Seppi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
11.03.21	Jonas Forejtek - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
09.03.21	Jonas Forejtek - Tobias Kamke	2:0 ✺
08.03.21	Julian Lenz - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
07.03.21	Marco Miceli - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
28.02.21	Andrey Kuznetsov - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

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