Match Info

Date: 14 September 2022, Wednesday


	Illya Marchenko		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.54	1.5
	2.55	1.43
	2.69	1.48
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.26)	1.46 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
36%

Sebastian Ofner
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illya Marchenko's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Ofner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Illya Marchenko - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ofner will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marchenko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
13.09.22	Marek Gengel - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
01.09.22	Illya Marchenko - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
29.08.22	Illya Marchenko - Yshai Oliel	2:0 ✺
24.08.22	Hoang Nam Ly - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
22.08.22	Jason Jung - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLW
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
13.09.22	Sarp Agabigun - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
13.09.22	Billy Harris - Sebastian Ofner	Canceled ✺
08.09.22	Norbert Gombos - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
07.09.22	Sebastian Ofner - Lucas Miedler	2:0 ✺
06.09.22	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.11.20	Sebastian Ofner - Illya Marchenko	0:2
16.07.19	Illya Marchenko - Sebastian Ofner	1:2

Illya Marchenko - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide