Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday


	Ilya Ivashka		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.57	2.4
	1.59	2.39
	1.6	2.48
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.58	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
60.3%

Daniel Altmaier
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	0%	23.8%

Ilya Ivashka - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ivashka will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Altmaier will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ivashka: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ivashka is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Altmaier is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Altmaier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ivashka will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Altmaier to win the game is with odds 2.38.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Ilya Ivashka	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
10.03.23	Ilya Ivashka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	Van De Zandschulp B. retired ✺
08.03.23	Ilya Ivashka - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.23	Ilya Ivashka - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?L?WL
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Miami
21.03.23	Daniel Altmaier - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Daniel Altmaier - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.23	Daniel Altmaier - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
09.03.23	Daniel Altmaier - Elmar Ejupovic	2:0 ✺
07.03.23	Daniel Altmaier - Dominik Koepfer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

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