Match Info

Date: 17 October 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	22:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	SportKlub
Croatia	13:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	13:00	Nova Sport 2
France	13:00	beIN Sports
Germany	13:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	12:00	Sport TV
Romania	14:00	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	13:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	13:00	SportKlub


	Ilya Ivashka		Maxime Cressy

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.54	2.5
	1.52	2.41
	1.56	2.57
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.48	Watch
	1.55	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.84)	2.47 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
61.5%

Maxime Cressy
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilya Ivashka's performance.

Maxime Cressy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maxime Cressy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilya Ivashka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Cressy than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maxime Cressy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Ilya Ivashka - Maxime Cressy Predictions

Users Predictions: Ilya Ivashka will win (55 of 66 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.34% – 92.32%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Ivashka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cressy is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cressy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ivashka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ivashka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Gijon
13.10.22	Andrey Rublev - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
11.10.22	Ilya Ivashka - Feliciano Lopez	2:1 ✺
ATP Sofia
30.09.22	Ilya Ivashka - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
28.09.22	Grigor Dimitrov - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
26.09.22	Mikael Ymer - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Maxime Cressy
ATP Florence
12.10.22	Jeffrey John Wolf - Maxime Cressy	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
04.10.22	Maxime Cressy - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Tel Aviv
30.09.22	Constant Lestienne - Maxime Cressy	2:1 ✺
28.09.22	Sebastian Korda - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.22	Marton Fucsovics - Maxime Cressy	Cressy M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
17.04.21	Ilya Ivashka - Maxime Cressy	2:0

Ilya Ivashka - Maxime Cressy