Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Huamantla 4, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta		Sabastiani Leon

	1	2
	1.4	2.77
	1.76	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.4)	2.35 ↓ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta
59.7%

Sabastiani Leon
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta's form might have worsened.

Sabastiani Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabastiani Leon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabastiani Leon than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabastiani Leon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Leon is ranked WTA: 815.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Leon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Millan Acosta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta - Maria Sholokhova	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Sydney Jara - Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Maria Sholokhova - Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	2:1 ✺
11.07.25	Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta - Rachael Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLLWW
- Sabastiani Leon
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Paulina Montiel - Sabastiani Leon	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Emily Sartz-Lunde - Sabastiani Leon	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Saumya Vig - Sabastiani Leon	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Rachael Smith - Sabastiani Leon	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Saumya Vig - Sabastiani Leon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLW

Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta - Sabastiani Leon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide