Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Palermo (Italy), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
France	beIN Sports France 1
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Irina-Camelia Begu		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.69	2.13	Watch
	1.78	2.15
	1.76	2.16	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.04)	2.15 ↑ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irina-Camelia Begu
55.5%

Karolina Muchova
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irina-Camelia Begu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Irina-Camelia Begu's performance.

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karolina Muchova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irina-Camelia Begu than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Irina-Camelia Begu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karolina Muchova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Irina Camelia Begu - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Begu will win (votes: 15 - 41.7%). Muchova will win (votes: 21 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 42.2% – 74.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Begu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irina-Camelia Begu
WTA Palermo
19.07.24	Irina-Camelia Begu - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Arantxa Rus - Irina-Camelia Begu	0:2 ✺
15.07.24	Irina-Camelia Begu - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Irina-Camelia Begu - Lin Zhu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.24	Irina-Camelia Begu - Darja Semenistaja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL
- Karolina Muchova
WTA Palermo
19.07.24	Astra Sharma - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
17.07.24	Noma Akugue Noha - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
15.07.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Karolina Muchova	Kawa K. retired ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Paula Badosa - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
27.06.24	Madison Keys - Karolina Muchova	Keys M. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?L?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
02.06.23	Karolina Muchova - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:0
WTA Madrid
27.04.23	Irina-Camelia Begu - Karolina Muchova	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
30.05.19	Irina-Camelia Begu - Karolina Muchova	2:1

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