Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Kalmar, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Iva Marinkovic		Karla Popovic

	1	2
	2.88	1.43
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.36
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (1.83)	1.39 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iva Marinkovic
33.4%

Karla Popovic
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iva Marinkovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iva Marinkovic's form might have worsened.

Karla Popovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karla Popovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iva Marinkovic than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iva Marinkovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karla Popovic than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karla Popovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Iva Marinkovic - Karla Popovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popovic is ranked WTA: 823.

In recent matches, Marinkovic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Popovic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Marinkovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iva Marinkovic
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Rebecca Munk Mortensen - Iva Marinkovic	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Julita Saner - Iva Marinkovic	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Iva Marinkovic - Kaat Coppez	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Lian Tran - Iva Marinkovic	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Iva Marinkovic - Ekaterina Tupitsyna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWL
- Karla Popovic
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Mavie Osterreicher - Karla Popovic	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Vera Levin - Karla Popovic	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Karla Popovic - Francesca Gandolfi	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Karla Popovic - Elena Grekul	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Karla Popovic - Zara Darken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW

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