Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ceuta (Spain), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Ivan Marrero Curbelo		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.3	1.5
	2.16	1.67
	2.35	1.52	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.11	1.66	Watch
	2.25	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.73)	1.59 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
41.9%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ivan Marrero Curbelo's form might have worsened.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mario Gonzalez Fernandez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ivan Marrero Curbelo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 771. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 577.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marrero Curbelo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ITF Tournaments
12.12.24	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Rafael Segado Esteve	2:0 ✺
11.12.24	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Luca Fantini	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Pierluigi Basile - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:1 ✺
21.11.24	Benjamin Winter Lopez - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	0:2 ✺
20.11.24	Alejandro Melero Kretzer - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
12.12.24	Sergio Planella Hernandez - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
10.12.24	Izan Corretja - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
22.11.24	Gauthier Onclin - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
21.11.24	Lukas Hellum Lilleengen - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
20.11.24	Tomas Curras Abasolo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.12.23	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide