Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom) - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Jack Pinnington Jones		Lucas Pouille

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	2.15	1.65
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.71
	2.16	1.71
	2.2	1.62
	2.13	1.7	Watch
	2.03	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.47)	1.68 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Pinnington Jones
44%

Lucas Pouille
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jack Pinnington Jones's performance.

Lucas Pouille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Pouille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jack Pinnington Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Pouille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Jack Pinnington Jones - Lucas Pouille Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Pouille will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pinnington Jones: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pinnington Jones is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pouille is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pinnington Jones could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
15.06.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Cameron Norrie - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
11.06.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
10.06.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Ryan Peniston - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWWWW
- Lucas Pouille
ATP Challenger
11.06.24	Calvin Hemery - Lucas Pouille	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Lucas Pouille	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.24	Lucas Pouille - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Francisco Comesana - Lucas Pouille	Comesana F. retired ✺
10.05.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?LW?W

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