Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	Jack Pinnington Jones		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.98	Watch
			Watch
	1.76	2.13
			Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)	2.07 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jack Pinnington Jones
54.7%

Shintaro Mochizuki
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jack Pinnington Jones - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: Jack Pinnington Jones will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jack Pinnington Jones will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 340. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 178.

Pinnington Jones is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mochizuki's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pinnington Jones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Hugo Grenier - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Johannus Monday - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches