Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday


	Jake Delaney		Alan Magadan

	1	2
	1.90	1.78
	1.85	1.85
	1.93	1.88
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.88	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jake Delaney
49.4%

Alan Magadan
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jake Delaney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alan Magadan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jake Delaney that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alan Magadan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alan Magadan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jake Delaney - Alan Magadan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Delaney is ranked ATP: 449. Magadan is ranked ATP: 649.

Delaney has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Magadan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Magadan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jake Delaney - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.84%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Alan Magadan - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jake Delaney
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Jake Delaney - Riku Takahata	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Jake Delaney - Tai Sach	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Jake Delaney - Youssef Kadiri Hassani	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Jake Delaney - Tai Sach	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Jake Delaney - Jesse Delaney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Alan Magadan
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Sora Fukuda - Alan Magadan	Magadan A. Walkover ✺
08.06.26	Alan Magadan - Hyeon Chung	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Alan Magadan - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Alan Magadan - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Alan Magadan - Chan-Yeong Oh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 ?WLWW

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