Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Karuizawa, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Karuizawa 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Jake Delaney		Yuta Kawahashi

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.22	1.62
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.62	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.83)	1.66 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jake Delaney
43.8%

Yuta Kawahashi
56.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jake Delaney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jake Delaney's form might have worsened.

Yuta Kawahashi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuta Kawahashi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jake Delaney, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Kawahashi than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuta Kawahashi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jake Delaney - Yuta Kawahashi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Delaney is ranked ATP: 470. Kawahashi is ranked ATP: 862.

Delaney has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kawahashi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kawahashi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Kawahashi will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Delaney won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jake Delaney - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jake Delaney
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Jake Delaney - Ko Suzuki	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Jake Delaney - Yua Taka	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Jake Delaney - Yuta Tomida	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Jake Delaney - Thanapet Chanta	1:2 ✺
23.05.25	Jake Delaney - Soon Woo Kwon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Yuta Kawahashi
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Shu Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Noritaka Koizumi	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Takuya Kumasaka	Kawahashi Y. retired ✺
22.04.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Yuta Tomida	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Yuki Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.07.24	Yuta Kawahashi - Jake Delaney	0:2
31.05.23	Jake Delaney - Yuta Kawahashi	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jake Delaney
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Jake Delaney - Liam Broady	✺
29.10.26	Yi Zhou - Jake Delaney	✺

Jake Delaney - Yuta Kawahashi