Match Info

Date: 8 February 2020, Saturday


	James Duckworth		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.16	1.7	Watch
	2.11	1.65
	2.26	1.73
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.21	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
43.9%

Egor Gerasimov
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Egor Gerasimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	0%	79.5%

James Duckworth - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Users Predictions: Egor Gerasimov will win (66 of 83 users predict this - 79.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.84% – 88.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Pune
07.02.20	Roberto Marcora - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
06.02.20	Taro Daniel - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
04.02.20	Peter Gojowczyk - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.20	James Duckworth - Aljaz Bedene	2:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
15.01.20	James Duckworth - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL
- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Pune
07.02.20	Soon Woo Kwon - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
06.02.20	Nikola Milojevic - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
04.02.20	Paolo Lorenzi - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.20	Egor Gerasimov - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
21.01.20	Casper Ruud - Egor Gerasimov	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW

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