Match Info

Date: 24 September 2021, Friday


	James Duckworth		John Millman

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.71	2.14	Watch
	1.69	2.09
	1.74	2.23
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.73	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)	2.15 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
55.7%

John Millman
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

John Millman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Millman than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	0%	13.8%

James Duckworth - John Millman Predictions

Users Predictions: James Duckworth will win (56 of 65 users predict this - 86.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.75% – 94.55%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Millman is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Millman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Duckworth to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Astana
23.09.21	Filip Krajinovic - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
22.09.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.09.21	James Duckworth - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	James Duckworth - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
17.09.21	James Duckworth - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- John Millman
ATP Astana
22.09.21	Jaume Munar - John Millman	1:2 ✺
21.09.21	Dmitry Popko - John Millman	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.21	Henri Laaksonen - John Millman	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.21	John Millman - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.21	John Millman - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWL??

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