Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MORELOS (MEXICO), HARD - FINAL

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	James Duckworth		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.66	2.2
	1.68	2.31
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.17	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.46)	2.16 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
56.5%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that James Duckworth's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Duckworth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

James Duckworth - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: James Duckworth will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Duckworth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Duckworth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
22.04.23	James Duckworth - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
21.04.23	James Duckworth - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
19.04.23	James Duckworth - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
17.04.23	James Duckworth - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	James Duckworth - Juan Pablo Ficovich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
22.04.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
21.04.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
20.04.23	Evan Zhu - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Skander Mansouri - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.04.23	James Duckworth - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2

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