Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2 (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	James Watt		Jacob Brumm

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.74	2.04
	1.72	2.05	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.07)	1.95 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Watt
52.6%

Jacob Brumm
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Watt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Watt's performance.

Jacob Brumm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacob Brumm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Watt than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Watt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Brumm than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacob Brumm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

James Watt - Jacob Brumm Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Watt will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Brumm will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watt: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watt is ranked ATP: 816. Brumm is ranked ATP: 642.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Watt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Watt
ATP Challenger
26.01.25	Jacob Bradshaw - James Watt	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	James Watt - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.12.24	James Watt - Sam Wensley	Watt J. retired ✺
11.12.24	James Watt - Ryan Fishback	1:2 ✺
10.12.24	James Watt - Kai Milburn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LW?LW
- Jacob Brumm
ATP Challenger
27.01.25	Jacob Brumm - Pavle Marinkov	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Jacob Brumm	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Ty Host - Jacob Brumm	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.12.24	Jacob Brumm - Elijah Strode	0:2 ✺
11.12.24	Jacob Brumm - Marco Alvarez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

James Watt - Jacob Brumm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide