Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Segrate, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday


	Jan Kumstat		Manuel Mazza

	1	2
	1.91	1.75
	1.9	1.8
	1.94	1.83
	2.02	1.76	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.91	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.24)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Kumstat
47.7%

Manuel Mazza
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Kumstat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Kumstat's performance.

Manuel Mazza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manuel Mazza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jan Kumstat - Manuel Mazza Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kumstat will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mazza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kumstat (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kumstat is ranked ATP: 968. Mazza is ranked ATP: 533.

Kumstat is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mazza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kumstat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mazza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Kumstat
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Lilian Marmousez - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Jan Kumstat - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Jan Kumstat - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Jan Kumstat - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Jan Kumstat - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLW
- Manuel Mazza
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Manuel Mazza - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Manuel Mazza - William Grant	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Manuel Mazza - Niccolo Catini	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Manuel Mazza	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Alessandro Pecci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL

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