Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: FLORENCE (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday


	Jasmine Paolini		Katie Swan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.21	4.4
	1.2	4.73
	1.2	4.33
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.47	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	3.75 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
74.1%

Katie Swan
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jasmine Paolini's performance.

Katie Swan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Katie Swan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jasmine Paolini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katie Swan than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katie Swan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Jasmine Paolini - Katie Swan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Swan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Paolini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paolini is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Roma
12.05.23	Jasmine Paolini - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
09.05.23	Jasmine Paolini - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Elizabeth Mandlik - Jasmine Paolini	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.23	Jasmine Paolini - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL
- Katie Swan
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Katie Swan - Freya Christie	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.04.23	Katie Swan - Ekaterina Maklakova	0:2 ✺
26.04.23	Katie Swan - Basak Eraydin	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Katie Swan - Barbora Palicova	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.23	Katie Swan - Harriet Dart	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Jasmine Paolini - Katie Swan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide