Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHICAGO (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday


	Jason Jung		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.17	1.66
	2.25	1.67
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.16	1.64	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.61)	1.66 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jason Jung
43.6%

Bernard Tomic
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jason Jung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jason Jung's form might have worsened.

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bernard Tomic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jason Jung than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jason Jung, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.8%	0%	92.2%

Jason Jung - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: Bernard Tomic will win (47 of 51 users predict this - 92.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.78% – 99.54%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jung is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tomic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tomic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jason Jung
ITF Tournaments
08.06.23	Yanki Erel - Jason Jung	Jung J. retired
07.06.23	Pruchya Isaro - Jason Jung	0:2 ✺
03.06.23	Jason Jung - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
02.06.23	Jason Jung - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
01.06.23	Jason Jung - M Rifqi Fitriadi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WWWW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
10.07.23	Evan Zhu - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Michael Zheng - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.07.23	Bernard Tomic - Martin Damm	Tomic B. retired ✺
30.06.23	Bernard Tomic - Roberto Cid Subervi	2:0 ✺
29.06.23	Bernard Tomic - Marcus McDaniel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WW?WW

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