Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8 (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Jay Clarke		Carlos Sanchez Jover

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.68	2.02
	1.75	2.04
	1.7	2.04	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.04	Watch
	1.68	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.09)	2.04 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
54.8%

Carlos Sanchez Jover
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jay Clarke's performance.

Carlos Sanchez Jover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Sanchez Jover might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jay Clarke that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Sanchez Jover could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 269. Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 361.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Sanchez Jover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Sanchez Jover to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Clarke won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Jay Clarke - Niccolo Catini	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Jay Clarke - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Jay Clarke - Tibo Colson	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Jay Clarke - Tanguy Genier	2:0 ✺
09.09.24	Jay Clarke - Antoine Berger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Mika Brunold - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Gabriele Vulpitta - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Niccolo Catini	0:2 ✺
18.09.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Nicolo Toffanin	Toffanin N. retired ✺
17.09.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Leonardo Malgaroli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.05.24	Jay Clarke - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:1
05.09.17	Jay Clarke - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0

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