Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZCZECIN (POLAND), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 September 2023, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.28	1.58
	2.44	1.58
	2.25	1.57
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.28	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.65)	1.56 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
40%

Maks Kasnikowski
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelle Sels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maks Kasnikowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Jelle Sels - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Kasnikowski will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasnikowski: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sels has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kasnikowski is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kasnikowski will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sels won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Flavio Cobolli - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Jelle Sels - Alessandro Giannessi	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Liam Broady - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Jiri Vesely - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Aziz Dougaz - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Jeremy Jahn	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Paul Werren	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.08.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Kai Wehnelt	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Lukas Palovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.23	Jesper De Jong - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.08.20	Maks Kasnikowski - Jelle Sels	1:2

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