Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Amstelveen, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Jenny Duerst		Sarah Van Emst

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.62	2.15
	1.68	2.15
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.65	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.41)	2.16 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenny Duerst
57%

Sarah Van Emst
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenny Duerst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jenny Duerst's form might have worsened.

Sarah Van Emst has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarah Van Emst's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jenny Duerst, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarah Van Emst than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarah Van Emst, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Duerst is ranked WTA: 329. Van Emst is ranked WTA: 670.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Duerst may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Duerst might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenny Duerst
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Anouck Vrancken Peeters - Jenny Duerst	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Jenny Duerst - Marie Mattel	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Jenny Duerst	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Vittoria Paganetti - Jenny Duerst	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- Sarah Van Emst
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Sarah Van Emst - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Sarah Van Emst	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Mina Hodzic - Sarah Van Emst	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Sarah Van Emst - Isis Louise Van den Broek	1:2 ✺
24.06.25	Angelina Wirges - Sarah Van Emst	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarah Van Emst
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Sarah Van Emst - Alena Kovackova	✺

Jenny Duerst - Sarah Van Emst: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide