Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Gdansk (Poland), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 June 2024, Thursday


	Jenny Duerst		Victoria Rodriguez

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.46	2.47
	1.51	2.42
	1.52	2.43
	1.5	2.5
	1.49	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.33)	2.46 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenny Duerst
62.3%

Victoria Rodriguez
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenny Duerst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jenny Duerst's form might have worsened.

Victoria Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria Rodriguez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jenny Duerst, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Rodriguez than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoria Rodriguez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jenny Duerst - Victoria Rodriguez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duerst is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rodriguez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodriguez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Duerst is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenny Duerst
ITF Tournaments
12.06.24	Elena Malygina - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
25.05.24	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Jenny Duerst	2:1 ✺
24.05.24	Gergana Topalova - Jenny Duerst	1:2 ✺
23.05.24	Jenny Duerst - Lucie Havlickova	2:0 ✺
22.05.24	Mia Ristic - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLWWW
- Victoria Rodriguez
ITF Tournaments
12.06.24	Carolina Alves - Victoria Rodriguez	1:2 ✺
05.06.24	Mariia Tkacheva - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
28.05.24	Cagla Buyukakcay - Victoria Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
WTA Rabat
19.05.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	Victoria Rodriguez - Georgia Pedone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLW

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